See what the weather says before the market does
Live weather data, forecast tracking, and settlement history across 23 city markets — all in one place.
HOW IT WORKS
From raw weather to market signal
Weather data, continuously ingested
Live readings and 7-day forecasts across 23 cities, refreshed around the clock.
Compared against market prices
Our pattern model analyzes historical days with similar weather to project each outcome’s likelihood.
You see the full picture
The model’s read, the live market price, and how they compare — you decide what it means.
FROM THE ARCHIVE
How a market actually resolved
Tokyo · May 11, 2026 · “25°C or higher”
The "25°C or higher" market was trading at 77¢ on May 10.
Live readings track below the 25°C threshold all afternoon.
The day peaked at 24°C — below the 25°C threshold — so the market settled NO.
Historical settlement record. Not financial advice.
WHAT YOU GET
Everything you need to research Polymarket weather markets in one place.
Pattern Scanner
Compares the model’s read against live market prices across all active weather markets.
Live Forecast Data
Forecasts and live readings updated around the clock across 23 cities.
Flip Chance Signals
Know when a likely outcome could still go either way.
Telegram Alerts
Get notified the moment a market shifts or a pattern flags — you choose what to do next.
Resolution History
How past markets resolved and which forecasts got it right.
Pattern Analysis
See how historical weather patterns project each outcome’s likelihood.
PRICING
Start free. Upgrade when you see it.
- Today's live temperature data
- 1 city included
- Limited priority market list
- No credit card required
- All 23 cities + full resolution archive
- Pattern scanner comparing model reads to market prices
- Telegram alerts for market shifts
- Full priority list & verdict panels
FAQ
Common questions
Is this a tipster / signals service?
No — PolyObserve is a data intelligence platform. It shows you live forecasts, the pattern model’s read, and live market prices. Decisions stay yours.
Where does the data come from?
Professional weather observations and forecasts across 23 global cities, refreshed continuously.
Do I need a credit card to start?
No. Observer is free forever.
Can I cancel anytime?
Yes, in one click from your account page.
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